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nevada is one of the worst states for housing. nevada and florida. host: 61.2% of all nevada mortgages are underwater. nevada has the highest unemployment rate in the country. they moved from 14% to a 11.8%. still fantastically high. one reason -- they moved from 14% to 11.8% host: virginia has one of the lowest unemployment rates. if you believe the polls, they think mitt romney might win virginia. barack obama mike win of nevada, where the unemployment rate is much higher. -- might win nevada, where the unemployment rate is much higher. guest: there are complicated reasons for that. virginia has seen quite a bit of uncertainty lazy. with the fiscal cliff, are a lot of government workers who live in virginia. with the potential spending cuts and defense cuts coming, it is making employers shaky about hiring. host: if you look at manufacturing in pennsylvania, it mirrors ohio in terms of the employment rate. have you looked at that states? guest: the unemployment rate has not moved a lot. that could be one reason why voters are still trying to decide
nevada is one of the worst states for housing. nevada and florida. host: 61.2% of all nevada mortgages are underwater. nevada has the highest unemployment rate in the country. they moved from 14% to a 11.8%. still fantastically high. one reason -- they moved from 14% to 11.8% host: virginia has one of the lowest unemployment rates. if you believe the polls, they think mitt romney might win virginia. barack obama mike win of nevada, where the unemployment rate is much higher. -- might win...
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nevada is probably almost gone. and the way that the demographics have shifted in nevada this may be the last election where nevada is really in play for republicans. there's also an interesting thing that happened there on the ground. ron paul supporters sort of took over the republican party in nevada and kind of destroyed it in a way. the groundwork there is really poor for the republican party to the extent that the idaho republican party has actually been sending mail into the state. that's how bad it is. >> so why is mitt romney going to pennsylvania? >> well, i think he's looking at the fact that he can't win in ohio, he's behind there. even his people are sort of acknowledging that that's falling off the map. he has to either win in wisconsin which is also looking very much out of reach. or he has to figure out some other path of pennsylvania. i don't think it's credible but he's trying to do at least a head fake to figure out you some other path to get there. >> jonathan, to you. you might have thought that
nevada is probably almost gone. and the way that the demographics have shifted in nevada this may be the last election where nevada is really in play for republicans. there's also an interesting thing that happened there on the ground. ron paul supporters sort of took over the republican party in nevada and kind of destroyed it in a way. the groundwork there is really poor for the republican party to the extent that the idaho republican party has actually been sending mail into the state....
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guest: i would focus on nevada. in ohio, the thing to watch is how big the margin is coming out of cincinnati. host: here is the final question of the morning. will we know who was the next president on november 6 for november 7? guest: much more doubtful today that it was one week ago. a lot depends on what happens in ohio and with the provisional ballots. we will have to watch and see. the provisional ballots are more than the margin in ohio. we could be sitting here the day after or weeks after wondering who won the election. host: gentlemen, thank you. >> michele bachmann faces off against jim graves in the final debate in minnesota. rep michelle bachmann is in her third time -- third term and is a candidate for the 2012 election. jim graves has a background in business and is the founder and former ceo of the american hotel franchise. this debate was held in st. paul, minn., and is about all the minutes. ♪ [captioning performed by national captioning institute] [captions copyright national cable satellite cor
guest: i would focus on nevada. in ohio, the thing to watch is how big the margin is coming out of cincinnati. host: here is the final question of the morning. will we know who was the next president on november 6 for november 7? guest: much more doubtful today that it was one week ago. a lot depends on what happens in ohio and with the provisional ballots. we will have to watch and see. the provisional ballots are more than the margin in ohio. we could be sitting here the day after or weeks...
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some would argue that michigan and nevada should have been leaning obama. we have a very close election. it will be decided on election night with a bunch of potential surprises. >>chris: you have a white board? karl: on the 3rd of november in 2008, president obama was at or above 50 percent in seven of the 13 battleground states that year. in the same states this year, same day, president obama is at 50 percent, not above 50 percent but 50 percent in two, wisconsin and nevada, and wisconsin, he is only at 50 percent because there is one poll that has an eight-point lead. we have gone from cruising to victory in 2008 to a tight, tight, tight race in 2012. >>chris: a last question, what do you make of romney going to pennsylvania and what do you make of obama with last minute ad buys in florida and virginia. who is serious? who is bluffing in. >> they are all serious. president obama has difficulty in florida and virginia, where the clear politics average goes to romney and pennsylvania is in play. if president obama was comfortable with pennsylvania he what
some would argue that michigan and nevada should have been leaning obama. we have a very close election. it will be decided on election night with a bunch of potential surprises. >>chris: you have a white board? karl: on the 3rd of november in 2008, president obama was at or above 50 percent in seven of the 13 battleground states that year. in the same states this year, same day, president obama is at 50 percent, not above 50 percent but 50 percent in two, wisconsin and nevada, and...
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points. >> but democrats trail in target states i mentioned but especially virginia, ohio, iowa and nevada. early absentee voting is not where it was for democrats in 2008. >> we had a thing back and forth and every single one of these is a toss up. each one. including pennsylvania. but, tomorrow, mitt romney 8 be in virginia, virginia, ohio, and new hampshire. look at states, and he has virginia, he has to work on ohio, and new hampshire is a toss up. bob: why he is going there? >> he has to win. obama will be in wisconsin, ohio, and iowa, both spending time in ohio. but interesting that obama goes to wisconsin which would indicate he is concerned about wisconsin. if ohio goes to romney, obama has to have wisconsin. >> speaking of ohio, the g.o.p. is 250,000 votes ahead of where they were four years ago in early voting. that is a state that obama won by 260,000 votes so they is wiped out the obama lead. >> i am not a numbers person, i try to pull out of that but i try to look at feeling. certainly, when you look at ohio in 2008, i don't think there is any republican who could have sat her
points. >> but democrats trail in target states i mentioned but especially virginia, ohio, iowa and nevada. early absentee voting is not where it was for democrats in 2008. >> we had a thing back and forth and every single one of these is a toss up. each one. including pennsylvania. but, tomorrow, mitt romney 8 be in virginia, virginia, ohio, and new hampshire. look at states, and he has virginia, he has to work on ohio, and new hampshire is a toss up. bob: why he is going there?...
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who is actually showing up, who is casting ballots, and, states like ohio, iowa, nevada, florida, we're doing very, very well. what they are doing is comparing this to 2008, and you and i have had the discussion. i am not suggesting we will win by the same margin we won in 2008. and, they are comparing themselves to john mccain, who had virtually no ground operation in many of these states, so, yes, they will do better than john mccain did and we may not do as well as we did in 2008, but, we are doing plenty well and well enough to win the race. >> chris: let me ask you, briefly, about florida, where president obama is down by more than a point, in the polls. and yet you are making your final advertising by the campaign there. in florida. why not in the state you must win? >> well, first of all, we feel very competitive in the state of florida. there have been a spate of polls, in fact in all of these polls, battle ground state polls that came out the last 48 hours, we are ahead in 90% of them, including florida. and there were a couple of mixed polls in florida, but we are very pleased
who is actually showing up, who is casting ballots, and, states like ohio, iowa, nevada, florida, we're doing very, very well. what they are doing is comparing this to 2008, and you and i have had the discussion. i am not suggesting we will win by the same margin we won in 2008. and, they are comparing themselves to john mccain, who had virtually no ground operation in many of these states, so, yes, they will do better than john mccain did and we may not do as well as we did in 2008, but, we...
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i've been in here 23, 24 days, i think we're going to win iowa, wisconsin, nevada, new hampshire. i think we've got an even chance of winning virginia and florida. so it could be a big win. it also could be close. but the firewall here of ohio, wisconsin, iowa -- >> talk to your stake holders. tell them what they should do on tuesday. >> if you can vote early, vote earlier. but don't just vote, bring your mom, your dad, bring your cousin, knock on the door of your neighbor. the middle depends on it. >> vice president joe biden, thank you for your time. good luck. >>> north carolina and colorado look pretty tough. coming up, where does the race stand? we have the results of the latest and last poll before the election. that's next. and we have our top people here tonight. chuck todd, howard fineman, eugene robinson and others. the big question is about big bill. if president obama does win re-election tuesday night, the person he can thank the most perhaps probably is the guy he was campaigning with in new hampshire, bill clinton, the big dog could be the one who pulls him over the
i've been in here 23, 24 days, i think we're going to win iowa, wisconsin, nevada, new hampshire. i think we've got an even chance of winning virginia and florida. so it could be a big win. it also could be close. but the firewall here of ohio, wisconsin, iowa -- >> talk to your stake holders. tell them what they should do on tuesday. >> if you can vote early, vote earlier. but don't just vote, bring your mom, your dad, bring your cousin, knock on the door of your neighbor. the...
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he started in 2007 and is now a state director in nevada. i see it through his eyes. there's a degree, when it functions best, there's a feedback. if you have people going to the doors every day and doing constant focus grouping and constant interactions with voters to see what's moving them, that's democracy at its core. if you are finding when you go to the doors, women age 20 to 35 really are worried about birth control and access to it. then, what you see is that moves the way the president talks. >> it's too cold. it's too cold. it's chilling. it's like the big ad corporations. what you want to do is get a feel for the electorate long before it's election time. then provide the kind of leadership to get people pumped up about your program in advance and have the field offices and your field operation come in as profound tools to get those voters to the polls. >> there is something -- i believe -- listen, what we are talking about. >> i'm amazed. >> i know. i am retail politicking. going door-to-door, speaking to the working people of pennsylvania or ohio, trying
he started in 2007 and is now a state director in nevada. i see it through his eyes. there's a degree, when it functions best, there's a feedback. if you have people going to the doors every day and doing constant focus grouping and constant interactions with voters to see what's moving them, that's democracy at its core. if you are finding when you go to the doors, women age 20 to 35 really are worried about birth control and access to it. then, what you see is that moves the way the president...
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i've been in here 23, 24 days, we're going to win iowa, wisconsin, nevada, new hampshire. i think we've got an even chance of winning virginia and florida. so it could be a big win. don't just vote. bring your mom, your dad, cousin, knock on the door of your neighbor. let me tell you something, the middle class depends on it. >> joining me from the battleground state of ohio is our own national treasure, chris matthews. it's always great to see you. congratulations on the interviews. how much of that confidence is genuine and how much is spin in the homestretch? >> he felt confident when i talked to him off camera. of course, north carolina, new hampshire and colorado are up in the air. he said virginia and florida would be tough, as well. did you notice the discordance on the right wing of getting along with the other side? on the one hand, the romney is saying we should get along with the other side saying he could work with a republican congress. of course he can, he's a republican. then you have rupert murdoch trashing the governor of new jersey for the same thing, wor
i've been in here 23, 24 days, we're going to win iowa, wisconsin, nevada, new hampshire. i think we've got an even chance of winning virginia and florida. so it could be a big win. don't just vote. bring your mom, your dad, cousin, knock on the door of your neighbor. let me tell you something, the middle class depends on it. >> joining me from the battleground state of ohio is our own national treasure, chris matthews. it's always great to see you. congratulations on the interviews. how...
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we are going to give nevada's other republicans here tonight. the incumbent with a three and a half point lead. he just got over the threshold. democrat shelley berkeley. and five are going to be given in ohio to democratic incumbent brown up to ivan f. points and republican challenger jon mandel. now, the open races, we go first to arizona, and we are giving this to the republicans. real clear politics is not have an average, but led the democrats by six in the latest poll. so for our purposes we are giving it. we will give connecticut democrat chris murphy with a four-point lead on the republican. as you can see, it is a difficult science. we will be following the basic, outside the margin medicare. and in indiana, another question mark. real clear politics does not have an average. the democrat is leading the republican in the latest press be simple, but by only three points, and therefore it remains a question mark. north dakota, we are giving it to the republican. over five and a half lead, close enough to call six on the democrat. and then
we are going to give nevada's other republicans here tonight. the incumbent with a three and a half point lead. he just got over the threshold. democrat shelley berkeley. and five are going to be given in ohio to democratic incumbent brown up to ivan f. points and republican challenger jon mandel. now, the open races, we go first to arizona, and we are giving this to the republicans. real clear politics is not have an average, but led the democrats by six in the latest poll. so for our purposes...
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. >> a presidential election will disappear, colorado, mexico, texas, florida, nevada. we won't have a chance. >> it's tough to have -- explain, gentlemen, we have primaries and we better do something. because we line up with hispanic voters. i think we do. we could argue that for hours. but our values and where we are as a party, but we're in tenuous territory. this election will tell us a lot about it. >> i told them had we started. we're not even going to get to the beginning of all of this. when we come back, we're going to be on something completely different. well, maybe not. but how many times have you heard someone say if so-and-so wins, i'm moving to canada. oh, yeah. we're going to live to our maybe in the north to even see whether or not they want us there. or that printing in color had to cost a fortune. nobody said an all-in-one had to be bulky. or that you had to print from your desk. at least, nobody said it to us. introducing the business smart inkjet all-in-one series from brother. easy to use, it's the ultimate combination of speed, small size, and low
. >> a presidential election will disappear, colorado, mexico, texas, florida, nevada. we won't have a chance. >> it's tough to have -- explain, gentlemen, we have primaries and we better do something. because we line up with hispanic voters. i think we do. we could argue that for hours. but our values and where we are as a party, but we're in tenuous territory. this election will tell us a lot about it. >> i told them had we started. we're not even going to get to the...
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he seems to be trailing in florida, he seems to be ahead in nevada and colorado as a tossup. if you read nate silver and the new york times, who i think is the best in compiling all of the polls, right now, the president is leading and has enough. >> okay, election day on tuesday. we're expecting a winner that night. you're saying not so fast. why? >> i don't see how you, if it's as close as everyone said, how there will be declared a winner because of one thing, and i brought it up a few days ago and it bears repeating. there will be hundreds of thousands, hundreds of thousands, let me repeat that, of provisional votes cast in ohio. that is votes that can not be counted because of absentee ballots and other permutations of the election day in ohio and they can't be counted for 10 days. if you have a tight race and 18 electoral votes make the difference. >> right. >> we won't know the results in ohio on election day. >> early voting so far, huge turnouts all over. does it bode better for one or another? >> democrats feel that early voting helps them and that republicans are m
he seems to be trailing in florida, he seems to be ahead in nevada and colorado as a tossup. if you read nate silver and the new york times, who i think is the best in compiling all of the polls, right now, the president is leading and has enough. >> okay, election day on tuesday. we're expecting a winner that night. you're saying not so fast. why? >> i don't see how you, if it's as close as everyone said, how there will be declared a winner because of one thing, and i brought it up...
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third race that is looking very difficult to call at this point and should be a good one to watch is nevada. another presidential battleground state. i think at this point, most people think obama has a little bit of an edge there, but the republican has shown some ability to get democratic votes and people think he will run ahead of mitt romney in the state. that is a state where ticket splitters could make a difference in the senate race and that has been an incredibly close senate race as well. >> is there anything that would surprise you coming out of election night? >> although people thought republicans would gain control of the senate for a very long time in the beginning of this cycle, at this point, i think republicans actually picking up the four seats they need to gain senate control would really surprise me. they have had a few different things working against them. there have been some flawed candidates like todd akin and richard mourdock. those were races that the republicans were expected to win and now mr. looks like a democratic pickup. it looks more likely the democrats wi
third race that is looking very difficult to call at this point and should be a good one to watch is nevada. another presidential battleground state. i think at this point, most people think obama has a little bit of an edge there, but the republican has shown some ability to get democratic votes and people think he will run ahead of mitt romney in the state. that is a state where ticket splitters could make a difference in the senate race and that has been an incredibly close senate race as...